By Grant Brisbee, Tim Britton and Chad Jennings
Every week, we ask a selected group of our baseball writers — local and national — to rank the teams from first to worst. Here are the collective results.
This date has been marked on every baseball fan’s calendar since the start of spring training, and at last, it’s here.
The end-of-July Power Rankings!
Sure, the less astute fans will be distracted by Tuesday’s trade deadline, but here at Team Power Rankings, we know there are many ways to improve a ballclub. Let the front office barbarians swap one player for another. The more sophisticated set imagines improvements that are even better than a trade.
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And besides, we’ve been power ranking for four months now, and we’re pretty sure we’ve got it down to a science. Make all the trades you want, baseball executives! I’m sure we can all agree, this 1 through 30 is perfect and unlikely to change in any way through the end of October.
Record: 65-41
Last Power Ranking: 1
Even better than a trade: A fully healthy J.T. Realmuto
Realmuto’s knee surgery in early June was a calculated decision: He had been playing through pain for weeks, and the hope was the surgery would allow him to return for the final stretch of the season feeling more like himself. Well, here we are, with Realmuto back in the middle of the order for the team with the National League’s best record.
The surface-level numbers belie just how valuable Realmuto is to the operation for Philadelphia. His right-handed bat lengthens the middle of the order — he’s batted second or fifth much of the year — and his presence behind the plate brings the best out of the pitching staff. Perhaps the clearest sign of his value is this: When Realmuto starts, Philadelphia is 37-19. When he doesn’t, it’s just 28-21. — Tim Britton
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Record: 63-44
Last Power Ranking: 2
Even better than a trade: Jackson Holliday establishing himself as a major leaguer
According to Wins Above Average, the Orioles’ weakest position has been second base, where their five combined second basemen have been worth minus-0.4 WAA. Holliday contributed only 36 (mostly bad) plate appearances to that total, but he’s almost certainly the club’s future at the position.
There’s no time like the present, then, for Holliday to come up and start hitting for the next 10 to 20 seasons. He’s been hot in Triple A, with an on-base percentage over .400 in each of the last three months, and the opportunity is there with Jorge Mateo on the IL. The Orioles don’t want to rush him, and they don’t want to bring him up just to sit on the bench, but if they get No. 1 prospect-level production out of the No. 1 prospect in baseball, it’ll be the most obvious and welcome upgrade they could imagine. — Grant Brisbee
Record: 63-44
Last Power Ranking: 3
Even better than a trade: Vintage Clayton Kershaw
Pick your vintage of choice: This one tastes good from any year. Sure, the 2014 MVP vintage is the standout, but even last year’s came in with a sub-2.50 ERA. Only once, since 2009, has Kershaw posted an ERA above 3.03.
The collapse of LA’s rotation last year doomed it in an October sweep by the Diamondbacks. (OK, 2023 NLDS Kershaw is a vintage to avoid.) Kershaw is back now, with Yoshinobu Yamamoto and Walker Buehler to hopefully follow. Put that trio alongside Tyler Glasnow, and you’ve got the best playoff rotation in the National League. Start Gavin Stone in Game 2, and it’s a different story. — Britton
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Record: 64-42
Last Power Ranking: 4
Even better than a trade: One last ride with Carlos Carrasco
The Guardians have a great bullpen, but they need help in the rotation and wouldn’t say no to a little more offense (assuming they can afford it). You know what would be a really fun and rewarding way to partially address their rotation woes? Two resurgent months from 37-year-old Carrasco. He’s had good stretches this season — a 3.33 ERA in five starts from late June to mid-July — but his overall numbers aren’t good, and he’s a far cry from the guy who was a Cleveland rotation mainstay from 2014 to 2020. Eight good weeks from Carrasco would solve a short-term problem and perhaps leave a lasting final impression. — Chad Jennings
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Guardians show they have ingredients for October, but they need help
Record: 63-45
Last Power Ranking: 5
Even better than a trade: The April/May version of Anthony Volpe
There are basically two months left in the season, and the Yankees need to improve their infield. You know who had a couple of really good months in the infield this season: The current Yankees shortstop. As of June 1, Volpe was ninth in the majors in fWAR, but his production has cratered so much that his season statistics look uncomfortably similar to disappointing second baseman Gleyber Torres. Get Volpe back to that early-season form at a time when Torres seems to be turning his season around, and the Yankees’ infield problems won’t seem quite so big. — Jennings
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Record: 61-45
Last Power Ranking: 6
Even better than a trade: Jackson Chourio filling the production void created when Christian Yelich went on the IL
Chourio has been fine, just fine. He’s been worth about 2 WAR, according to Baseball-Reference, and his .305 OBP is just a little below the league average. His 98 OPS+ would be the 18th-best from a 20-or-under player in the expansion era, and it’s comparable to what Manny Machado and Adrián Beltré did at the same age.
But if he wanted to go bananas and put up the same kind of numbers that Yelich did in his renaissance season, the Brewers wouldn’t mind. They gave him an eight-year deal (with two team options) before his major-league debut because they’re expecting that kind of production from him at some point. Might as well be now. — Brisbee
The Twins are in desperate need of a return to form from Pablo López. (Thearon W. Henderson / Getty Images)
Record: 58-47
Last Power Ranking: 9
Even better than a trade: Pablo López continuing to turn his season around
From May 20 through June 18, López made six starts and allowed 28 runs in 29 2/3 innings. His problem was an acute case of dingeritis, with nine home runs allowed, and he made it into the sixth inning only once in those six starts.
Since then, López has made another six starts, with much better results, allowing 12 runs in 38 innings. It hasn’t been enough yet to make his ERA (4.73) pretty again, but he’s still limiting walks and striking out more than a batter per inning. In a post-Sonny Gray world, the Twins desperately need the best version of López. The early returns are good. — Brisbee
Record: 56-49
Last Power Ranking: 7
Even better than a trade: 2023 Matt Olson
One of the bigger mysteries this season is what’s happened to Olson, who finished fourth in the MVP balloting a season ago. This year, it’s been an across-the-board collapse: His batting average is down more than 50 points, his slugging percentage is down 200 points, he’s walking less than ever, striking out more than he has in several years, and is hitting below league-average against righties, whom he typically crushes.
Atlanta is already missing three regulars from last year’s offensive juggernaut. Ronald Acuña Jr. isn’t coming back, Ozzie Albies is out into September, and Michael Harris II won’t be back for a couple more weeks. The wild-card picture in the National League has tightened considerably; last week Atlanta dropped out of the top wild-card spot for the first time all season. Olson looking like even 80 percent of his ’23 self would be as big a gain as any club could receive this time of year. — Britton
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Record: 55-51
Last Power Ranking: 8
Even better than a trade: One-two punch to rejuvenate the rotation
Sure, getting Kyle Tucker off the IL will be huge, but how many teams are heading into the trade deadline even dreaming of acquiring a couple of starting pitchers like Justin Verlander and Luis García? Both are throwing off a mound and are expected to return from the IL in August. The Astros have dealt with significant pitching injuries this season — Kendall Graveman, Cristian Javier, José Urquidy, Lance McCullers Jr. — but getting Verlander and García back in time for a down-the-stretch push into the playoffs could make Houston a real force come October. — Jennings
Record: 57-51
Last Power Ranking: 14
Even better than a trade: The right-here, right-now version of Xander Bogaerts
Since returning from his shoulder injury, Bogaerts has been scorching. Some guys dream of a .300/.400/.500 slash line; Bogaerts is running a .400/.500/.600 over the last two weeks. That’s quite a change from a guy whose OPS was below .600 when he went down.
A career year for Jurickson Profar, the rookie breakthrough of Jackson Merrill and the earlier addition of Luis Arraez already raised the ceiling of this San Diego offense. Bogaerts performing to his career norms, let alone what he’s been doing of late, could make it as potent as any in the senior circuit. And at the very least, it protects against regression from some of his teammates out over their skis. — Britton
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Padres’ Dylan Cease throws second no-hitter in team history
Record: 58-49
Last Power Ranking: 10
Even better than a trade: Drew Waters finally sticks
A consensus top-100 prospect back in 2021, Waters made his big-league debut in 2022 and had an .803 OPS for the final month and a half. Brought back in early 2023, Waters could never sustain much production. This season, he’s been called up twice and each time was sent down after a few days. His Triple-A numbers, though, are good, and even a moderately productive outfield bat would help the Royals. It might help them stay in the race, or at the very least, it could help them maintain the strides they’ve made this season into the future. — Jennings
Record: 56-49
Last Power Ranking: 11
Even better than a trade: A fully operational Vaughn Grissom
Of all the guys on the IL, the greatest second-half impact might come from first baseman Triston Casas, and healthy versions of Justin Slaten and Chris Martin should help solve their bullpen issues. But in a trade market that seems fairly thin up the middle, the return of Grissom might exceed the impact the Red Sox could find elsewhere. They need a right-handed bat (check!) and middle-infield impact (check!). The only question is whether Grissom is ready to live up to his potential. He was one of the Red Sox’s biggest offseason acquisitions, and he’s played in only 23 games. The team could really use him, if they’re convinced he’s up to the task. — Jennings
Record: 56-52
Last Power Ranking: 12
Even better than a trade: Julio Rodríguez looking at a calendar
Rodríguez in the first half last season: .249/.310/.411, 13 homers
Rodríguez in the second half last season: .308/.363/.578, 19 homers
Rodríguez in the first half this season: .267/.318/.372, 10 homers
Rodríguez in the second half this season: ???
It’s not a great sign that he’ll be on the IL when August begins, but the Mariners have seen the Dr. Julio and Mr. Hyde routine before. The Mariners have been busy before the deadline, but it won’t mean much unless their all-world player is an all-world player again. — Brisbee
Record: 56-51
Last Power Ranking: 15
Even better than a trade: Finding the warlock who cursed Corbin Carroll, taking his amulet and throwing it into an active volcano
About once a week, I’ll remember that Carroll is having an absolutely ghastly season, and I’ll think something like, “Surely he’s turned it around by now,” before checking FanGraphs or Baseball-Reference and … nope. Since June 5, he’s posted a .778 OPS and is 11-for-12 on stolen bases, so it’s not as if he’s been a complete drag on the Diamondbacks’ ability to score runs lately.
He’s just not the Carroll who finished in fifth place in last season’s MVP voting. If the Diamondbacks can get 75 percent of that version, they’d be happy. But there’s no reason not to get greedy. We all know he can carry a team at his best. — Brisbee
[Editor’s note: Wait a minute. Did Grant will this into existence?]
Record: 56-50
Last Power Ranking: 16
Even better than a trade: The usual Pete Alonso
Through his first five years in the majors, Alonso has averaged 44 homers and 111 RBIs a season with an .870 OPS. (We’re extrapolating 2020, for the sticklers.) This year, the OPS is down below .800 and the pace is for 32 homers and 85 RBIs.
The Mets need more and, frankly, Alonso needs more. While New York’s offense has performed like gangbusters for a couple months, José Iglesias is only going to hit .380 for so long, and even Francisco Lindor probably can’t keep up the pace he’s set since late May. With free agency looming at the end of the season, a power push from Alonso can be worth tens of millions. There’s a big difference between Alonso as a 30-homer hitter and Alonso as a 45-homer hitter, as 2024 has made clear until now. — Britton
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Record: 54-52
Last Power Ranking: 13
Even better than a trade: The Hall of Famers play like it
When you think about it, it’s not that huge a surprise that, say Gunnar Henderson has more home runs than Paul Goldschmidt or Nolan Arenado. He’s been a big-time prospect, a breakout was in the cards, hitting lefty at Camden Yards is still benefi— wait, sorry. Gunnar Henderson has more home runs than Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado? Combined? In July?
Yep, St. Louis’ Cooperstown couple has 27 homers between them at the trade deadline. Henderson isn’t even the only Baltimore Oriole with more than that on his lonesome. So if St. Louis is going to make a push to go worst-to-wild-card, it will need the real Goldschmidt and Arenado to show up. — Britton
Record: 54-52
Last Power Ranking: 17
Even better than a trade: Ke’Bryan Hayes figuring out right-handed pitchers
Last year’s NL Gold Glove winner at third base started the season relatively hot, with a .355 OBP in April, but he’s been an offensive sinkhole since. He has just five extra-base hits (all doubles) in 246 plate appearances against right-handed pitchers this year
It’s worth it for the Pirates to keep Hayes out there, as he’s under contract through 2029 at not-inexpensive rates. He doesn’t have to hit enough to win another Gold Glove. He just needs to be normal against right-handers. — Brisbee
Robbie Ray could be an important part of the Giants’ hopes for a postseason push. (Ronald Martinez / Getty Images)
Record: 53-55
Last Power Ranking: 20
Even better than a trade: A huge finish from their Cy Young winner
No, not that one! (We’re just protecting ourselves for Wednesday’s readership if Blake Snell is moved.)
But Robbie Ray, owner of the 2021 American League Cy Young Award trophy, made his San Francisco debut last week with a gem. Ray has some similarities with Snell: The stuff speaks for itself from the left side, but it can be undercut when his command is gone. Ray doesn’t own Snell’s long track record of sterling second halves; having one this season, regardless of whether Snell is his teammate beyond this week, would go a long way toward a postseason push by the Bay. — Britton
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Record: 52-55
Last Power Ranking: 19
Even better than a trade: The Evan Carter of a year ago
The Rangers are somewhere in between. They have a losing record with unencouraging playoff odds, but they also have a talented roster with enough players coming off the IL (Jacob deGrom, Josh Jung, Tyler Mahle) to expect a bump down the stretch. Getting Carter back on the field would be huge. He made his big-league debut last September and became a crucial piece of their World Series run. His return from a back injury has been delayed, but if the Rangers can get such a good, young talent back on the field for the final month or so, it could help them this season and provide a lasting impact for the future. — Jennings
Record: 54-52
Last Power Ranking: 18
Even better than a trade: Let the Junior Caminero Era begin
The Rays have arguably been the most aggressive seller of the deadline so far. It started with Aaron Civale. Then Randy Arozarena. Then Zach Eflin. And they’ve just kept going, adding more and more young players as they shift their focus to the future. You know what would be a great get for a team trying to improve its prospect stockpile? The No. 3 prospect in baseball. But the Rays already have him in Caminero, who’s spent most of this season on the injured list but is healthy again — just in time to cement his status as a fixture of the Rays’ current and future infield. If you’re turning the page, you might as well start with one of the most talented young players in the sport. — Jennings
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Payroll-shedding trades of Randy Arozarena and Zach Eflin in line with Rays’ philosophy
Record: 52-56
Last Power Ranking: 21
Even better than a trade: Colt Keith keeps going
Assuming a Spencer Torkelson emergence is too much to ask, and putting aside the potential for a Tarik Skubal long-term deal, it’s worth pointing out that rookie second baseman Keith has unlocked something in July. He signed a long-term deal in the offseason, made the Opening Day roster, and then struggled mightily out of the gate. He was good in May, then bad again in June, but he’s been legitimately excellent this month. Assuming the Tigers keep their trade deadline focus on the future, they could do a lot worse than solidifying an infield position with a productive homegrown player who’s already signed through 2032. — Jennings
Record: 51-57
Last Power Ranking: 22
Even better than a trade: Last summer’s Cody Bellinger
Bellinger’s 2024 season has been something we haven’t seen much of from him: fine. It’s resided within the extremes that he had embraced over the past several seasons, a season dedicated to neither MVP votes nor a negative WAR.
That’s not enough for these Cubs.
Chicago re-upped with Bellinger to have him as a lineup centerpiece — the No. 3 hitter on Opening Day. The cleanup hitter behind him that day was just traded, and the No. 5 hitter has an OBP that starts with a two. The Cubs’ offense, therefore, has been among the weakest in the National League. Last summer’s competitive resurgence corresponded with Bellinger’s best streak in years. Chicago’s aggressive additions at the deadline, while long-term in scope, suggest a belief that a run is possible in the mediocre NL over the next two months. — Britton
Record: 51-55
Last Power Ranking: 23
Even better than a trade: Getting Will Benson unstuck
Last season, Benson hit .275/.365/.498, with 11 home runs and 19 stolen bases. This year he’s hitting … not that. He’s unlikely to become anything other than a platoon player, but he’s not even hitting right-handers well, striking out in over 42 percent of his plate appearances against them. The Reds have bigger problems than the strong side of a platoon, but getting Benson to do anything would be a gift.
On a personal note, I would like to apologize to the Reds and their fans. Not only did I draft Benson, but I used him as the basis for my team’s name, which is statistically proven to be the kiss of death. Sorry. Sorry about that. — Brisbee
Record: 50-57
Last Power Ranking: 25
Even better than a trade: Getting the old Alejandro Kirk back
There are many reasons why the Blue Jays are the most disappointing team in baseball. Bo Bichette forgot how to hit. George Springer isn’t a middle-of-the-order bat anymore. Kevin Gausman is allowing more runs and striking out fewer batters. Kirk’s season has the potential to be the biggest disappointment of all, though. A 23-year-old catcher with a 127 OPS+ and positive defensive metrics is a franchise player; a 25-year-old catcher with a 74 OPS+ and positive defensive metrics is a player profile that grows on trees. There’s probably one on the waiver wire right now.
Kirk was an All-Star not that long ago, and he has the talent to be an All-Star again. If the Blue Jays want to be relevant in the near future, it’s hard to see how they do it without him. — Brisbee
Record: 49-58
Last Power Ranking: 24
Even better than a trade: Some hope for Keibert Ruiz
The key returns from the 2021 trade of Max Scherzer and Trea Turner are having a rough season in the Navy Yard. Josiah Gray went under the knife for Tommy John surgery, likely taking 2025 with him. And Ruiz, the first piece of this new core that Nats’ brass extended deep into the future, has only charitably been an everyday player behind the plate.
What do you hope for when you extend a player for as long as a decade? Ruiz started from a solid floor in March 2023 when he put pen to paper, coming off a full season of near league-average offensive production at a premium position that lacks that competence around the league. But in ’23 his defense regressed from tenable, as he became one of the league’s worst everyday defenders — and thus posted a negative WAR. He’s taken the same kind of step back with his bat this year, running some of the league’s worst walk and barrel rates. He’s signed for at least six more years, and already the modest deal looks underwater. — Britton
Record: 46-60
Last Power Ranking: 26
Even better than a trade: Better luck in the draft lottery
Look, a suddenly resurgent Anthony Rendon isn’t going to make the Angels a good baseball team. Neither is a healthy Mike Trout, and their farm system isn’t exactly loaded with on-the-verge prospects about to make a difference. Getting the Angels back to relevance feels like a lengthy process, so let’s start with a bit of luck in December. Last year, the Angels had the sixth-worst record, and the draft lottery handed them the No. 8 pick (which they used on Keith Law’s 37th-ranked draft prospect). The Angels are in line for the fifth-best odds for the top pick in 2025. Maybe the lottery will go a little more in their favor this time around. — Jennings
Record: 44-64
Last Power Ranking: 27
Even better than a trade: The rapid rise of Nick Kurtz
There are a lot of non-trade things that could help the A’s turn things around. A strong second half from Zack Gelof could help them feel better about their middle infield. Lawrence Butler continuing to hit would be encouraging. Getting Mason Miller healthy again would be nice. But pie in the sky, how about a fast track for this year’s first-round draft pick? We’ve seen recent college bats move quickly, and Kurtz is an advanced hitter at a position (first base) where the A’s don’t necessarily have a long-term solution. How about a pro debut so strong it puts Kurtz on the big-league radar for 2025? — Jennings
Record: 39-67
Last Power Ranking: 29
Even better than a trade: A healthy return to the starting rotation from…anyone
Let’s break some tough news for Marlins fans: It’s, uhh, not gonna happen this year. We know, we know, 2023 was a blast, and it felt like the start of something better. And this season has been a headbutt to the sternum, day after day.
The season has felt cursed from the start. A team built on the strength of its starting rotation lost Sandy Alcantara late last year, then watched as starter after starter hit the IL in spring training. Even now, Miami is without Jesús Luzardo, Braxton Garrett and Ryan Weathers — one piece who could have fetched a huge trade return and two others who are important parts of the future. The ingredients of a good, even great, rotation are still within the organization. They just need to pitch. — Britton
Record: 38-69
Last Power Ranking: 28
Even better than a trade: Getting Zac Veen a cup of coffee in September
Veen has the greatest spoonerism in baseball history, if not world history. (He was drafted in 2020, remember.) It’s been a slower start to his career than expected (just a .781 OPS in his minor-league career, with much less power than hoped), but he’s still just 22, and the Rockies are hoping he can become a core part of their future, along with Brenton Doyle and Ezequiel Tovar.
They’re not watchable yet. But they’re getting there. Another homegrown prospect would do wonders. — Brisbee
Record: 27-82
Last Power Ranking: 30
Even better than a trade: Buying copies of “The World Without Us” by Alan Weisman for everyone in the front office
When we’re gone, the flora and fauna will take back the land. Buildings will crumble and return to the earth. There will be traces of humanity left over — nuclear waste and plastics, to name two — but even the bytes and bits of our digital footprint will decay and disintegrate. Every ballpark and book and newspaper and picture will eventually disappear.
And if all evidence of baseball disappears, that means there will be no memory of the 2024 White Sox. The days are long, but the years are short. Every second is another one closer to this sweet, sweet release. — Brisbee
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(Top image of Xander Bogaerts and Manny Machado: Greg Fiume / Getty Images)
