Before calling for your general manager’s head, bemoaning the players your favorite team didn’t land, consider the bigger picture.
The three top left-handed starters discussed in trades – Tarik Skubal, Garrett Crochet and Blake Snell – did not move.
Hitters who might have shaken up the market – Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Luis Robert Jr., even Brent Rooker – also did not move.
It wouldn’t be fair to call it a “Dudline,” not when 60 trades were made in the final six days, including 32 on Tuesday before the 6 p.m. ET cutoff.
But think about it:
Who was the best starting pitcher traded? Jack Flaherty, who was not as big a prize as David Price was in 2014 and ‘15, Zack Greinke was in 2019 or Max Scherzer was in 2021.
The best relievers traded? Tanner Scott and Carlos Estévez, both of whom are enjoying fine seasons, but to many fans are relative unknowns.
The best hitters traded? Take your pick between Jazz Chisholm Jr., Randy Arozarena and Isaac Paredes, none of whom will be confused with Juan Soto, the prize of the 2022 deadline.
Some of this is luck of the draw. For whatever reasons, the crop of available players this season was just not all that stellar. But some of it also relates to the shift in trade dynamics that occurred when Major League Baseball adopted expanded playoffs in 2022. With 12 postseason spots available, more teams are in contention. And fewer teams are apt to be pure sellers.
MLB.com’s Mike Petriello put it well, saying on X, “I think we have to stop saying it’s a seller’s market, because with the expanded playoffs, there’s only a handful of teams really selling now, and it’s going to be like this every year.”
Call it an unintended consequence of the league’s decision to invite more teams to the October party. Some might argue the league should adjust by pushing the deadline to mid-August. The additional two weeks would allow more separation to occur in the standings and perhaps create clearer lines between buyers and sellers. But such a move would diminish the drama. Acquisitions would be less impactful. And for six weeks of a rental, teams would be even less reluctant to give up better prospects.
Isaac Paredes was one of the biggest names to move teams, heading from Tampa Bay to the Chicago Cubs. (Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports)
This deadline, for all of its oddity, did not lack intrigue. The Tampa Bay Rays made 10 trades, most of the sell variety, and still believe they might contend for a wild card. The Miami Marlins detonated their roster, also making 10 trades, starting with the Luis Arraez deal in early May. Their flurry resulted in 11 additions to their list of their top 30 prospects, according to MLB.com.
The Chicago Cubs’ trade for Isaac Paredes and the three-team deal between the Los Angeles Dodgers, St. Louis Cardinals and Chicago White Sox qualified as stunners, if not blockbusters. And San Diego Padres general manager A.J. Preller was his usual frenzied self, trading 12 prospects from the Top 20 list The Athletic’s Keith Law released in February , including nine of the top 11. (Shortstop Leodalis De Vries, 17, did not make Law’s list, having only signed in January; Law ranked him the game’s 39th best overall prospect in his latest Top 60).
Yet, for all the bodies flying, many teams were left wanting more.
The Baltimore Orioles determined none of the players available merited the sacrifice of their top prospects, one of whom, second baseman Jackson Holliday, hit a grand slam Wednesday in his first game back from Triple A.
Even two players below Baltimore’s top tier, infielder Connor Norby and outfielder Kyle Stowers, were possibly too high a price for lefty Trevor Rogers. And the Orioles’ biggest addition, right-hander Zach Eflin, through his career mostly has been a league-average starter.
The Cleveland Guardians and Milwaukee Brewers are practically mirror images in the game’s respective Central divisions, first-place teams with new managers and frighteningly thin starting pitching. Both had reason to be aggressive. Neither quite was, and not simply because of payroll considerations.
With a limited supply of starters available, the Guardians took chances on two pitchers coming off injuries who have yet to appear in a major-league game this season, lefty Matthew Boyd and righty Alex Cobb. The two starters the Brewers added, righties Aaron Civale and Frankie Montas, each had ERAs over 5.00 at the time they were acquired.
The Pittsburgh Pirates, too, did Pirates things, making a series of modest upgrades – infielder Isiah Kiner-Falefa, outfielder Bryan De La Cruz, lefty relievers Jalen Beeks and Josh Walker.
Ideally, they would have done more to capitalize on the ascent of rookie righty Paul Skenes, who gives them an excellent chance to win every five days. But again, the pool of available talent was not exactly teeming with difference makers.
Even certain high-revenue teams struggled to fill their needs.
The New York Yankees were left without a starting pitcher after failing to come to an agreement with the Tigers on Flaherty. The Boston Red Sox addressed their bullpen by adding Lucas Sims and Luis Garcia, but failed to acquire a right-handed hitting middle infielder and a starting pitcher in addition to James Paxton. The Dodgers settled for complementary offensive parts (Tommy Edman, Amed Rosario, Kevin Kiermaier) rather than land the impact hitter they desired.
On it went. The Texas Rangers, Kansas City Royals, Houston Astros and Yankees were shut out in their quests to land one more hitter. The San Francisco Giants added only Mark Canha while subtracting Jorge Soler. Most contenders filled their bullpen needs, but it’s not as if the 2016 versions of Aroldis Chapman and Andrew Miller were available. Some of the relievers, notably Estévez and Scott, should prove good additions. But the New York Mets, who kept their top prospects while adding four relievers as well as righty Paul Blackburn and outfielder Jesse Winker, were among the clubs that essentially just subbed out bodies in their bullpen.
This is not to make excuses for the teams that failed to do more. Preller, with his acquisitions of right-hander Dylan Cease in spring training, then Arráez in May, then relievers Jason Adam and Scott at the deadline, proved big moves are possible, if the head of baseball operations is daring enough.
Some teams, to be sure, warrant scrutiny. The White Sox, for failing to make a bigger score while parting with three major leaguers (Erick Fedde, Michael Kopech and Tommy Pham) in their deal with the Cardinals and Dodgers. The Oakland A’s, who could have exploited the hot relief market by trading Mason Miller, even after his pinky injury. The Minnesota Twins, for acquiring only Trevor Richards, a mediocre setup type. The Los Angeles Angels and Colorado Rockies, both of which limited their activity mostly to trading relievers.
The Angels, under owner Arte Moreno, operate in their own insular universe, with their long-term plan extending only to the next day’s lineup. The Rockies are just as bizarre, seeming to take pride in being conscientious objectors at the deadline.
The acts of those teams are tired. But for most other clubs, the deadline offered limited opportunity, one way or the other. Time will tell if the Astros overpaid for lefty Yusei Kikuchi, if Preller did the same for relievers Scott, Adam and Bryan Hoenig, if other teams, in trying to fix their bullpens, also went too far. But the high prices simply reflected supply and demand.
Just this once, cut your GM some slack. There was only so much quality to be had.
(Top photo: Rich Storry/Getty Images)
